Hurricane Irma Update (5:00 p.m. Sunday)

Brandon Beyer / Twitter / MGN
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TOLEDO, OH (13abc Action News) – Sunday 5:00 p.m. update from Meteorologist Ben Cathey:

Irma is a Category 2 hurricane, new at 5:00 p.m., with sustained winds of 110 mph. The storm is speeding up, moving almost due north at 14mph. The storm's eyewall will be over Naples within the 5 o'clock hour. That's where David Muir and Matt Gutman are reporting from tonight.

Irma left a long and wide trail of damage across southern Florida. Though the storm is slowly weakening as it moves up western Florida, it wass still a strong Category 3 as of 4:30 p.m . Marco Island (near Naples) saw America's first mainland landfall this afternoon, with a gust of 130 mph. That's equivalent to a top-end EF2 tornado, but is on a much larger scale.

Sunday 6 AM Update

The hurricane re-strengthened to Category 4 status with maximum sustained winds near 130 mph. As of 5 a.m. EDT Sunday, the hurricane was centered about 40 miles south-southeast of Key West, Florida, and moving northwest at 8 mph.

Irma is expected bring life-threatening wind and storm surge to
the Florida Keys and southwestern Florida as an extremely dangerous
major hurricane today, and these conditions will spread into central
and northwestern Florida tonight and Monday

- Meteorologist Dan Zbozien
_________________________________________________

Saturday 6:00 p.m. Update from Ben Cathey:

Hurricane Irma has made the "turn," finally heading towards Florida, after drifting along the northern Cuban coast the last couple of days. Irma is still a very strong Category 3 Hurricane, with sustained winds of 125mph. The first two bullet points from the National Hurricane Center are troubling and ominous:

...EYE OF IRMA BEGINNING TO MOVE SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE COAST OF CUBA
WHILE WEATHER IS DETERIORATING IN SOUTH FLORIDA...
...MAJOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AT
DAYBREAK...

Irma is now offshore of Cuba, and is 115 miles southeast of Key West. Check the related links at the side of this web story to see a LIVE HD video camera of the Key West Harbor.

The storm will soon re-enter the Florida Straits, which is narrow. However, those waters are near 90° at the surface, and so Irma could strengthen again to a Category 4 'mainland' landfall late Sunday night somewhere near Naples and the Everglades.

Saturday 11 AM Update

Irma is roughly 160 miles SE of Key West. After making landfall as a Category 5 hurricane on the island of Cuba, it has dropped to a Category 3. Sustained winds of 125 mph with a westward movement at 9 mph.

Once the eye takes a more northerly turn into open waters it will likely strengthen to a strong Category 4 Hurricane, then make landfall somewhere along the Florida keys around 8 AM Sunday.

Irma is expected to remain a very dangerous hurricane for the next 2
days while moving very near the Florida peninsula The track guidance is tightly packed and takes the hurricane over the Florida Keys and near or over the Florida Peninsula.

Irma will continue to bring life-threatening wind, storm surge,
and rainfall hazards to portions of the Bahamas and the north coast
of Cuba, especially over the adjacent Cuban Keys, through tonight.

Irma is expected to make landfall in Florida as an extremely
dangerous major hurricane, bringing life-threatening wind
impacts to much of the state regardless of the exact track of the
center. Wind hazards from Irma are also expected to spread northward
along the coast of Georgia and South Carolina where a Hurricane
Watch has been issued.

There is an imminent danger of life-threatening storm surge
flooding in portions of central and southern Florida, including the
Florida Keys, where a Storm Surge Warning is in effect. The threat
of catastrophic storm surge flooding is highest along the southwest
coast of Florida, where 10 to 15 feet of inundation above ground
level is expected

- Meteorologist Dan Zbozien

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday 8 am update:

Irma is expected to make landfall in Florida as an extremely
dangerous major hurricane, and will bring life-threatening wind
impacts to much of the state regardless of the exact track of the
center.

There is the danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation in
portions of central and southern Florida, including the Florida
Keys, during the next 36 hours, where a Storm Surge Warning is in
effect. The threat of significant storm surge flooding along the
southwest coast of Florida has increased, and 8 to 12 feet of
inundation above ground level is possible in this area.

____________________________________________

11pm Friday Update:

IRMA is once again a Category 5 Hurricane.

Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 40
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
1100 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017

...IRMA MAKING LANDFALL ON THE CAMAGUEY ARCHIPELAGO OF CUBA AS A
CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE...
...HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...

SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 77.7W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM ESE OF CAIBARIEN CUBA
ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SSE OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH...260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...924 MB...27.29 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Warning has been extended northward on the east
coast of Florida to the Volusia/Brevard County Line and on the west
coast of Florida to Anclote River, including Tampa Bay.

The Hurricane Warning has been extended northward on the east coast
of Florida to the Volusia/Brevard County Line and on the west coast
of Florida to Anclote River.

The Storm Surge Watch has been extended northward on the west coast
of Florida to Suwanee River.

The Hurricane Watch has been extended northward on the east coast
of Florida to Fernandina Beach and on the west coast of Florida to
Indian Pass.

The government of Cuba has upgraded the Hurricane Watch for the
province of Matanzas to a Hurricane Warning. A Tropical Storm
Warning has been issued for the provinces of La Habana and Ciudad
de la Habana. The Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Warning for
Guantanamo have been discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Volusia/Brevard County Line southward around the Florida peninsula
to Anclote River
* Florida Keys
* Tampa Bay

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* North of the Volusia/Brevard County Line to the Flagler/Volusia
County line
* North of Anclote River to Suwannee River

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Volusia/Brevard County Line southward around the Florida peninsula
to Anclote River
* Florida Keys
* Lake Okeechobee
* Florida Bay
* Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus,
Villa Clara, and Matanzas
* Central Bahamas and Ragged Island
* Northwestern Bahamas

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of the Volusia/Brevard County Line to Fernandina Beach
* North and west of Anclote River to Indian Pass
* Cuban provinces of Holguin and Las Tunas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cuban provinces of Holguin, Las Tunas, La Habana, and Ciudad de
la Habana

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere in Cuba, Florida, and the southeastern United
States should monitor the progress of Irma.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 77.7 West. Irma is moving toward
the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A turn toward the northwest is
expected by late Saturday. On the forecast track, the center of Irma
will move near the north coast of Cuba through Saturday, near the
Florida Keys Sunday morning, and then near the southwest coast of
Florida Sunday afternoon.

Data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 160 mph (260
km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is once again a category 5 hurricane
on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in
intensity are likely during the next day or two, but Irma is
expected to remain a powerful hurricane as it approaches Florida.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 924 mb (27.29 inches).

5pm Friday Update:

Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 39
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
500 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017

...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING WESTWARD OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA AND
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
...HURRICANE WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.1N 76.5W
ABOUT 195 MI...310 KM E OF CAIBARIEN CUBA
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SE OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.32 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning has been extended northward for east coast of
Florida to Sebastian Inlet, and along the west coast of the
peninsula northward to Anna Maria Island.

The Hurricane Watch has been extended northward along the west coast
of Florida to Suwannee River.

A Storm Surge Watch has been issued north of Venice to the Anclote
River, including Tampa Bay, and from Ponce Inlet to the Flagler/
Volusia County Line.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Sebastian Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Venice
* Florida Keys

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* North of Sebastian Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia County line
* North of Venice to Anclote River
* Tampa Bay

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Sebastian Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Anna
Maria Island
* Florida Keys
* Lake Okeechobee
* Florida Bay
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, and
Villa Clara
* Central Bahamas
* Northwestern Bahamas

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Sebastian Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia County Line
* North of Anna Maria Island to the Suwannee River
* Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, Las Tunas and Matanzas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, and Las Tunas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere in Cuba, Florida, and the southeastern United
States should monitor the progress of Irma.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Irma was located
near latitude 22.1 North, longitude 76.5 West. Irma is moving toward
the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a turn toward the northwest
is expected by late Saturday. On the forecast track, the eye of
Irma should continue to move near the north coast of Cuba and the
central Bahamas tonight and Saturday, and be near the Florida
Keys and the southern Florida Peninsula Sunday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher
gusts. Irma is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely
to continue during the next day or two, and Irma is expected to
remain a powerful category 4 hurricane as it approaches Florida.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 925 mb (27.32 inches).

___________________________________________________
2pm Friday Update:

Here's the latest from the National Hurricane Center:

BULLETIN
Hurricane Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 38A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 08 2017

...EYE OF HURRICANE IRMA MONITORED BY HURRICANE HUNTER PLANES AND
CUBAN RADARS...
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING WESTWARD OVER PORTIONS OF CUBA AND
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.0N 76.0W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM E OF CAIBARIEN CUBA
ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM SE OF MIAMI FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...925 MB...27.31 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Hurricane Warning for the Turks and Caicos Islands has been
discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Sebastian Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Venice
* Florida Keys

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* North of Sebastian Inlet to Ponce Inlet

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Jupiter Inlet southward around the Florida peninsula to Bonita
Beach
* Florida Keys
* Lake Okeechobee
* Florida Bay
* Southeastern Bahamas
* Cuban provinces of Camaguey, Ciego de Avila, Sancti Spiritus, and
Villa Clara
* Central Bahamas
* Northwestern Bahamas

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* North of Jupiter Inlet to the Flagler/Volusia County Line
* North of Bonita Beach to Anclote River
* Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, Las Tunas and Matanzas

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cuban provinces of Guantanamo, Holguin, and Las Tunas

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
during the next 36 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

Interests elsewhere in Cuba, Florida, and the southeastern United
States should monitor the progress of Irma.

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,
including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.
_____________________________________________________
11 AM Friday Update:

HURRICANE IRMA 11 AM STATS:
Category: 4
Winds: 150
Moving to the WNW at 14 mph

Hurricane Irma is now a category 4 and the storms track has taken a very slight shift to the west.

Irma is expected to approach the US mainland late tomorrow night and make landfall Sunday morning. The most likely landfall occurring through the central Florida Keys, then north toward Everglades City. But still potentially bringing winds over 100 mph for the Miami-Fort Lauderdale area. The strongest of the sustained wind speeds while the storm makes landfall are expected to range from 130-140 mph, continuing it's Category 4 status

Please stay with 13abc for the most up to date information on Hurricane Irma.

- Meteorologist Dan Zbozien
______________________________________________________

8pm Thursday Update:

HURRICANE IRMA 8PM STATS:
Category: 5
Winds: 175
Moving to the WNW at 16 mph

No major changes to the strength and motion of Hurricane Irma. The storm is now centered around 55 miles west-southwest of Grand Turk Island.

Irma is expected to approach the US mainland late Saturday night/Sunday morning with the most likely landfall occurring near the Florida Keys-Miami. The sustained wind speeds while the storm makes landfall are expected to range from 130-140 mph, making the storm a Category 4 hurricane.

Please stay with 13abc for the most up to date information on Hurricane Irma.

-Chief Meteorologist Jay Berschback
___________________________________________________
8:30am Thursday Update:

Current Irma Stats:
Category: 5
Winds: 180 mph
Moving to the WNW around 17 mph

The forecast track hasn't shifted much overnight. The storm is still on target to reach south Florida by Saturday night and Sunday. Hurricane Irma will stay just north of the Dominican Republic today and north of Cuba on Friday and Saturday. The storm's eye will be near the south Florida coast and then move north toward Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina on Monday and early Tuesday. A few light showers are expected in Ohio late next Tuesday and Wednesday as well. -Meteorologist Ross Ellet
_____________________________________________________
10:30pm Wednesday Update:

Current Irma Stats:
Category: 5
Winds: 185 mph
Moving to the WNW around 15 mph

Hurricane Irma's track has not shifted much today. The storm is expected to move to the west/northwest, just clipping the Dominican Republic and Cuba before turning to the north toward Florida Saturday afternoon. Our computer models have Irma making a US landfall in southern Florida sometime around noon Sunday. The storm will continue to move to the north and could make a second landfall near in Georgia or South Carolina.

We are also tracking two additional hurricanes: Katia and Jose. Katia is expected to drift to the south and make landfall in Mexico with no direct impact on the USA. Jose should stay out to sea and may clip Bermuda, but should also have no direct impact on the USA.

The remnants of Irma still look like they'll drift into NW Ohio late Tuesday/Wednesday with rain and breezy conditions.

-Chief Meteorologist Jay Berschback
____________________________________________________
8AM Wednesday, Update:

Hurricane Irma's track has shifted overnight. The storm is still a very strong category 5 with sustained winds at 185 mph. Irma has been at that rare category 5 level for a full 24 hours and counting. The storm's eye will track just north of Puerto Rico this evening. The official National Hurricane Center's storm track has pushed east of the Florida Keys. However, some computer models keep the storm over the open water east of Florida and then hitting South Carolina late Monday. The entire Florida coastline north to North Carolina could be impacted by this storm. A few showers could move into our area by next Tuesday. Stay with 13abc for the latest. -Meteorologist Ross Ellet
__________________________________________________
6 PM Tuesday, September 5th

Irma is the first Category 5 Hurricane in the Atlantic since Wilma back in 2005. Wilma eventually made landfall in Cape Romano, Florida on 10/24/05 as a Category 3 with sustained winds of 120 mph.

For now, Irma is expected to stay at its current Category 5 status as it tracks west at 15 mph. Passing the northern half of the Dominican by Thursday afternoon. The long range forecast still points at a possible impact on southern Florida by early Sunday.

Here, locally, rain from Irma may reach NW Ohio and SE Michigan by next Tuesday or Wednesday.

- Meteorologist Dan Zbozien