Sunday morning snow update - Toledo (OH) News, Weather and Sports

12/23 Sunday morning snow update

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TOLEDO, Ohio -

Just a quick morning update here with the overnight weather data...I will dive into things more this afternoon with new model runs that are about to come out. The models are trending lighter with snow totals on Christmas Eve. There is still a very good chance of light snow, but snow totals should average closer to 1" instead of 2" like we were thinking yesterday. Light rain may mix in and keep snow totals under a half inch from Lima to Findlay to Upper Sandusky.

As for Wednesday's storm system, the low has shifted a bit northwest in the latest runs. As it sits right now, areas along I-75 to I-69 in northeast Indiana are in the zone of the highest snow totals which could easily reach the 3-6" mark. I have two concerns with the current trends. One a pocket of elevated warm air is getting closer to the area. This could change the snow over to a period of sleet or freezing rain if the trend continues especially east of I-75. The other concern is that if the current storm track continues to trend to the northwest, the heaviest snowfall could shift west into Indiana leaving us with a rain, snow, sleet, and freezing rain mix. Regardless, the current projections are very favorable for heavy snow in northwest Ohio and southeast Michigan.

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