The Miami Heat are 8.5-point underdogs heading into a potentially-deciding Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden on Thursday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Heat lead the series 3-1. The over/under for the matchup is set at 214.5.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Info

  • When: Thursday, May 25, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts
  • TV: TNT
Favorite Spread Over/Under
Celtics -8.5 214.5

Check out the latest NBA odds and place your bets on this matchup with BetMGM Sportsbook.

Celtics Betting Records & Stats

  • Boston's 82 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 214.5 points 65 times.
  • Boston's outings this year have an average total of 229.4, 14.9 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • The Celtics have gone 45-37-0 ATS this season.
  • Boston has entered the game as favorites 73 times this season and won 52, or 71.2%, of those games.
  • This season, Boston has won 23 of its 32 games, or 71.9%, when favored by at least -350 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 77.8% chance of a victory for the Celtics.

Heat Betting Records & Stats

  • Miami has played 52 games this season that finished with a combined score above 214.5 points.
  • Miami's games this year have had a 219.3-point total on average, 4.8 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • So far this season, Miami has put together a 30-52-0 record against the spread.
  • The Heat have won in seven, or 30.4%, of the 23 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Miami has not won as an underdog of +270 or more on the moneyline this season in two games with those odds or longer.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Miami has a 27% chance of pulling out a win.

Celtics vs Heat Additional Info

Celtics vs. Heat Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)

Games Over 214.5 % of Games Over 214.5 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Celtics 65 79.3% 117.9 227.4 111.4 221.2 227.8
Heat 52 63.4% 109.5 227.4 109.8 221.2 219.6

Additional Celtics Insights & Trends

  • The Celtics are 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 games.
  • In their past 10 contests, the Celtics have hit the over six times.
  • When playing at home, Boston has a better record against the spread (23-18-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (22-19-0).
  • The Celtics average 8.1 more points per game (117.9) than the Heat allow (109.8).
  • Boston has a 40-21 record against the spread and a 49-12 record overall when putting up more than 109.8 points.

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Additional Heat Insights & Trends

  • Miami is 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall over its last 10 contests.
  • The Heat have gone over the total in six of their last 10 games.
  • Miami has performed better against the spread on the road (16-25-0) than at home (14-27-0) this season.
  • The Heat score an average of 109.5 points per game, just 1.9 fewer points than the 111.4 the Celtics allow to opponents.
  • Miami is 17-17 against the spread and 26-8 overall when it scores more than 111.4 points.

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Splits

Celtics and Heat Betting Information
ATS Record ATS Record Against 8.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Celtics 45-37 15-16 43-39
Heat 30-52 1-1 41-41

Celtics vs. Heat Point Insights

Celtics Heat
117.9
Points Scored (PG)
 109.5
4
NBA Rank (PPG)
 30
40-21
ATS Record Scoring AVG+
 17-17
49-12
Overall Record Scoring AVG+
 26-8
111.4
Points Allowed (PG)
 109.8
4
NBA Rank (PAPG)
 2
28-8
ATS Record Allowing < AVG
 26-39
31-5
Overall Record Allowing < AVG
 39-26

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